Hurricane Harvey caused historic flooding across many parts of Harris County, but it was not the worst flooding event for every neighborhood, watershed, or property. Flooding in Harris County varies based on where rain falls, how intense the rainfall is, how long it lasts, local ground conditions, bayou and channel capacity, storm surge in coastal areas, and the capacity of neighborhood drainage systems.
MAAPnext is not based on Hurricane Harvey or any other single storm. Instead, it uses updated rainfall data, historical storm information, terrain data, land use data, and hydrologic and hydraulic modeling to estimate flood risk across a range of storm probabilities. This allows the maps and flood risk products to reflect more than one past event.
It is also important to remember that the FEMA 1-percent annual chance floodplain does not represent Hurricane Harvey or any other specific historic storm. It represents an area with a 1-percent chance of flooding in any given year, based on modeled conditions. A property may have flooded during Harvey and still be outside a mapped high-risk flood zone, or it may be in a mapped high-risk flood zone even if it did not flood during Harvey. Both situations can occur because mapped flood risk is based on modeled probabilities, not only on what happened during one storm.